Preprints & Reprints THE POTENTIAL OF MULTIMEDIA THE RACE THE TERMINAL NETWORK INTERPLAY Realising the full potential of existing networks and terminals is important if the new market possibilities of multimedia are to be fulfilled. The following are examples of how the innovative coupling of current network service options can be used to deliver multimedia applications. Interactive Multimedia Services (IMS) combine television and telephone to allow customers to select, and order services from an on-screen menu. The key technology is video compression, which allows economic storage and retrieval of electronic images, and reduces the bandwidth required for transmission. The potential range of IMS applications is extensive. Customers could call up movies, TV, educational and training material, information services, and video games, or purchase soft and hard products. PC Based Multimedia Conferencing Services can be realised with a low cost video camera, VC8000 Codec, and ISDN connection. Users can have video conferencing at their desk, complete with a shared workspace and white board. Still pictures can be captured and transmitted without any loss in quality, whilst multimedia interactive sessions are supported on the desktop with passive, active and interactive demonstrations. PUBLISHING - MORE FOR LESS At the present rate of progress we should each have enough storage capacity at work and home to hold the contents of the Library of Congress within 15 years. But this is not the whole story - we only need access - we do not need copies of everything. The first book store on Internet has opened with 50 volumes selling at 5$ each At this price our purchasing algorithm changes! Buy it and try it - who cares - it is so cheap I can afford to throw it away if I don't like it! The publishing industry is thus about to undergo a revolution far greater than the move from the scribe to the printing press. To date well over 20,000 volumes are already in digital form and will sell at a fraction of their paper predecessors. Some publishing houses are already predicting that they see the end of paper publishing in sight. For technical and reference volumes this is credible. For the rest it might not be - paper is very user friendly! For general reading we need liquid crystal paper - high resolution, definition, contrast, flexibility and compact. Then we might see novels and light reading transformed also - but then again there are alternatives such as talking books! A further small advance could see custom information on line. Instead of buying a complete newspaper, magazines, books and databases, to discard large sections that are of no interest to us, we may have the option to pay more for less. The focused news, articles, detail, data and information would be far more beneficial. Barring serendipity that is! The future retailing, supply, updating, validation, security, charging, copyright, and format of publications thus pose some major challenges. TELEPRESENCE - INFOMATICS A trip to a doctor's surgery or the hospital outpatients' department could become a thing of the past, and become an automated and remote activity. Further developments in tele-medicine include remotely monitoring patients through body mounted electronic devices. For diabetics and other medicine-dependent people, it is already possible for remote computers to calculate and administer optimum doses of their drugs. So far the experiments have been confined to hospital wards, but there is no reason why this cannot be done globally. These concepts can be extended to other disciplines including the repair and maintenance of oil rigs, electronic and power installations, and even activities in the home. Applications which teleport experts into your location, and have them guide you through the necessary steps to effect a solution are already being tested. REMOTE EDUCATION The nature of teaching and education can also ve expected to see radical change. Since the ancient Greeks we have hardly strayed from scratching in the sand. Moving to the blackboard, to the white board and overhead projector is hardly revolutionary given the technology at our disposal. Might we expect experiments on the screen to become as respectable as experiments in the laboratory? After all, they are actually far more powerful and instructive! On-line tutorials, lectures and interactive teaching packages for the rapidly expanding science and technology based curriculum would seem a necessity. Packages are already being introduced in medicine and other professions. The dismantling of high tech structures; simulation of air flow across an aircraft wing; current flow in an electronic circuit; or the dissection of a frog or human organ are already available on trial systems. In many European universities it is becoming impossible to get a degree qualification without your own PC. Perhaps in the not to distant future we will be able to cruise the world's institutions, virtual or real, and drop in for a refresher course presented by an internationally recognised expert - anywhere, anytime! Perhaps project reports and theses will become active, and interactive documents and high quality visualisation will offer immediately informative representations of physical or other situations, rather than the traditional erudite and oft confusing prose. Most radical of all, mathematics and the physical science may be opened up to all. Those who have found the traditional long haul of 15 years of education, required to get even a rudimentary understanding, to tough, difficult, or plain indigestible, might find that visualisation and/or virtual reality puts them in the picture FUTURE PROSPERITY The same is true for education, training, health care and all other activities. As the technology speeds up, rapid access to data, information, experience and solutions will be essential. What is relevant will change continually - keeping informed and up-to- date will not be possible with the old tools of teaching, learning, recording and decision making. The speed of communication, interaction and information access now dictates the productivity of economies. Soon, operating without a super highway will be like running a country with cart tracks instead of motor ways. It will be possible but not as part of the developed world. ABOUT THE AUTHOR He has published widely in all areas of telecommunications and received the Martlesham Medal for contributions to fibre optic technology in 1994; the IEE Electronics Division Premium in 1986, Computing and Control Premium in 1994 and the IERE Benefactors Prize in 1994. |